It’s been an interesting 24 hours.
Crypto’s down like crazy, while election betting odds are up in a big way.
Last month, we thought BetOnline had outdone itself, but that was nothing.
This week, the Vegas election sportsbook has more political props and futures than we’ve ever seen, with a huge number of them focused on indictments of popular political figures.
Of course, that makes sense, as New York state is hellbent on extending its umpteenth Donald Trump witch hunt into a “criminal inquiry.”
Yes, it seems the Party of Science™ still believes in witches…
At any rate, the indictment odds at BetOnline are a lot of fun, and in many cases, there’s nothing of note fueling the speculation.
It’s domino theory: One big name and the lot of them go.
2021 Indictment Odds
Bill Clinton
- No -4000
- Yes +1000
No.
Hillary Clinton
- No -10000
- Yes +2000
No.
Bill Gates
- No -5000
- Yes +1400
Being an old pervy serial adulterer while treating human life as upgradeable software isn’t illegal.
So, no.
Donald Trump
- Yes -140
- No +100
Only if they want more riots.
Donald Trump, Jr.
- No -1500
- Yes +600
See above.
Elon Musk
- No -10000
- Yes +2000
Biggest con artist in history, but the Cult Of Science™ loves him. Weak payout, though.
Eric Trump
- No -300
- Yes +200
See a few places above.
Hunter Biden
- No -5000
- Yes +1400
No.
Ivanka Trump
- No -300
- Yes +200
See a few more places above.
Jeff Bezos
- No -20000
- Yes +3300
Then who would deliver the packages to the COVID shut-ins?
Kanye West
- No -2500
- Yes +800
Kanye has committed the ultimate transgression of CWB (Conservative While Black), so probably.
Matt Gaetz
- Yes -160
- No +120
That ship has sailed, and Gaetz is stronger than ever. No.
Prince Andrew
- No -3000
- Yes +900
LOL.
Roger Stone
- No -450
- Yes +275
Who?
Rudy Giuliani
- Yes -130
- No -110
See several more places above.
Will Donald Trump be Indicted in 2021?
- No -600
- Yes +350
Both Trump indictment lines require the “former” President to be indicted in 2021.
However, this line is different from the above in that state charges don’t apply here.
This wager is for federal charges only, which is why the “No” is a reasonable -600.
Will Joe Biden leave office via impeachment?
- No -2000
- Yes +700
The fact that this remains a betting line means there are people out there still taking the “Yes.”
Incredible.
In addition to all the indictment odds (which, apparently, are the new impeachment odds), it’s also interesting to look at the biggest non-federal race on the boards.
While BetOnline has a number of governor races currently getting action (as well as some US House odds and US Senate odds for the 2022 Midterms, plus a host of international election fare from across ye olde pond), the most surprising development is Andrew Yang’s precipitous fall in New York City’s 2021 mayoral race.
Yang’s crime? Not endorsing the full defunding of police in NYC while having the opinion that sovereign nations should be allowed to defend themselves.
Here’s where Yang’s odds stand today, with his odds from just two weeks ago in parentheses:
2021 New York City Mayoral Election Odds
- Eric Adams -110 (+350)
- Andrew Yang +125 (-250)
- Kathryn Garcia +1200 (+5000)
- Scott Stringer +1200 (+1200)
- Maya Wiley +2800 (+900)
- Diane Morales +6600 (+5000)
- Raymond Maguire +6600 (+1600)
- Shaun Donovan +6600 (+5000)
An 835-point swing in 14 days. And you thought Bitcoin was volatile!
Will Andrew Yang be the next elected mayor of NYC?
- No -165 (+170)
- Yes +125 (-250)
Ouch.
The good news: Nobody in NYC is dumb enough to actually want to abolish the police, and most of the city supports Israel.
The better news: Yang will likely still win the race, and your payout’s as good as it’s going to get.
2021 Joe Biden Presidential Mental Fitness Test Update
Will Joe Biden complete his first term as US President?
- Yes -200 (-400)
- No +150 (+250)
Welcome back to reality, folks. You’re almost there.