Today, we’ve got a complete roundup of every single current Vegas election odd you can find on the Internet. These lines come from BetOnline Sportsbook, which – for this cycle – has been the best political betting site.
They’ve simply got loads more lines than either Bovada or MyBookie, although we expect those sites to pick up the pace as the 2022 Midterm elections approach.
Most of these odds are going to be political prop bets, Donald Trump odds, US House odds, US Senate Odds, and gubernatorial odds. However, we’ve also included all the international election odds available so fans of the globo**** game have something, too.
As usual, we’re including some touts on the lines we find most interesting. Less as usual, we’ll be posting those lines in red text so you can catch them in a quick scroll if you’re the TL;DR type.
US House of Representatives Odds 2022
Who will control the House in 2022?
- Republicans -600
- Democrats +350
We got in when this was a tossup, but at -600, you can still make a few bucks.
Alaska-AL Special Election
- Sarah Palin -180
- Nick Begich III +210
- Mary Peltola +475
New York-10 Democrat Primary
- Daniel Goldman -225
- Yuh-Line Niou +275
- Carlina Rivera +425
- Mondaire Jones +2000
- Jo Anne Simon +10000
New York-12 Democrat Nominee
- Jerry Nadler -1200
- Carolyn Maloney +600
- Suraj Patel +2500
- Rana Abdelhamid +10000
New York-17 Democrat Nominee
- Sean Patrick Maloney -5000
- Alessandra Biaggi +1200
New York-19 Special Election
- Marc Molinaro (R) -225
- Pat Ryan (D) +160
Liz Cheney re-elected in Wyoming?
- No -3000
- Yes +900
The fall of Liz Cheney has truly been something to behold. However, as we consider the issue more and more, it seems utterly unlikely that she simply miscalculated her base so badly and inadvertently committed career suicide.
By our reckoning, this isn’t really career suicide at all. Cheney could be setting the table for a Senate run on Democrat side in WY.
However, even more interestingly is the idea that she’s done this to set up a VP selection on the next Democratic Presidential ticket.
The left is going to have to court centrist voters, and Cheney has taken considerable pains to brand herself as a centrist in the mold of her dear old dad.
US Senate Odds 2022
Who will control the Senate in 2022?
- Democrats -160
- Republicans +120
This is surprising. Take the GOP at +120 for easy money.
New Hampshire Republican Primary
- Chuck Morse -140
- Donald Bolduc +100
- Kevin Smith +2000
- Vikram Mansharamani +3500
- Bruce Fenton +4000
Florida
- Republicans -2500
- Democrats +800
New Hampshire
- Democrats -300
- Republicans +200
Wisconsin
- Republicans -200
- Democrats +150
Colorado
- Michael Bennet (D) -1500
- Joe O’Dea (R) +600
Iowa
- Chuck Grassley (R) -5000
- Michael Franken (D) +1200
Nevada
- Adam Laxalt (R) -120
- Catherine Cortez Masto (D) -120
Georgia
- Raphael Warnock (D) -200
- Herschel Walker (R) +150
North Carolina
- Ted Budd (R) -275
- Cheri Beasley (D) (locked)
Ohio
- J.D. Vance (R) -300
- Tim Ryan (D) +200
Pennsylvania
- John Fetterman (D) -500
- Mehmet Oz (R) +300
Arizona
- Mark Kelly (D) -225
- Blake Masters (R) +165
Lisa Murkowski to be re-elected in Alaska?
- Yes -250
- No +170
Trump has an almost perfect track record of his endorsements winning their elections.
As such, this is likely to be the biggest test for the Trump Endorsement™ brand, and it’s one of the only ones that’s truly difficult to call.
Even still, with so many wins under his belt – and so many more to come – he can afford to lose a high-profile case or two.
Dr. Oz for US Senate?
- No -500
- Yes +300
See above.
This is the other Trump flyer, but it may be an explicit test to see just how far a Trump Endorsement™ goes. Especially given the good doctor’s past statements about gun rights.
Herschel Walker to Win Georgia Senate Race?
- No -200
- Yes +150
US Governor Odds 2022
Rhode Island Democrat Primary
- Dan McKee -160
- Nellie Gorbea +135
- Helena Foulkes +1000
- Luis Daniel Munoz +10000
- Matt Brown +10000
Georgia
- Brian Kemp (R) -500
- Stacey Abrams (D) +300
Kansas
- Derek Schmidt (R) -165
- Laura Kelly (D) +125
Maine
- Janet Mills (D) -400
- Paul LePage (R) +250
Nevada
- Joe Lombardo (R) 120
- Steve Sisolak (D) -120
New York
- Kathy Hochul (D) -5000
- Lee Zeldin (R) +1200
Texas
- Greg Abbott (R) -900
- Beto O’Rourke (D) +500
Arizona
- Katie Hobbs (D) -155
- Kari Lake (R) +115
Michigan
- Gretchen Whitmer (D) -500
- Tudor Dixon (R) +300
Pennsylvania
- Josh Shapiro (D) -500
- Doug Mastriano (R) +300
Wisconsin
- Tony Evers (D) -180
- Tim Michels (R) +140
Beto O’Rourke for Texas Governor?
- No -900
- Yes +500
Greg Abbott Re-Elected in Texas?
- Yes -900
- No +500
Donald Trump Odds
Trump Elected at Mid-Terms?
- Yes +2000
Total Characters in First Tweet After Return?
- Over 22½ characters -120
- Under 22½ characters -120
They’re never letting Trump back on Twitter.
Joint Vaccine Statement With Biden?
- Yes +3300
No. The vaccine (issue) is (politically) toxic.
Officially Launch 2024 Campaign?
- Yes -140
- No +100
Public Meeting With Xi Jinping?
- Yes +2000
To File For Bankruptcy
- Yes +1200
To Get Divorced?
- Yes +2000
To Visit China?
- Yes +1000
To Visit Russia?
- Yes +1000
To become Speaker of the House?
- Yes +1800
Any Trump to win in 2024?
- No -450
- Yes +275
2024 Presidential Election Odds
Democratic Nominee
- Joe Biden +160
- Kamala Harris +285
- Gavin Newsom +400
- Pete Buttigieg +1200
- Elisabeth Warren +1400
- Hillary Clinton +1800
- Amy Klobuchar +2000
- Michelle Obama +2000
- Gretchen Whitmer +2500
- Cory Booker +4000
- + More!
None of the above.
Republican Nominee
- Donald Trump Sr. +120
- Ron DeSantis +120
- Mike Pence +1200
- Mike Pompeo +2500
- Nikki Haley +2500
- Tom Cotton +3000
- Kristi Noem +4000
- Ted Cruz +4000
- Tim Scott +4000
- Josh Hawley +5000
- + More!
Winning Candidate
- Ron DeSantis +265
- Donald Trump Sr. +325
- Joe Biden +425
- Gavin Newsom +1100
- Kamala Harris +1200
- Mike Pence +2000
- Elizabeth Warren +3000
- Michelle Obama +3000
- Pete Buttigieg +3000
- Nikki Haley +4000
- + More!
See our previous writeup on all the possibilities for the top two candidates above.
Winning Party
- Republicans -130
- Democrats -110
- Any Other Party +3300
GOP. Just like the last two elections.
2024 Party Leader Double
- DeSantis v Biden +500
- Trump Sr. v Biden +500
- DeSantis v Harris +700
- Trump Sr. v Harris +700
- DeSantis v Newsom +1000
- Trump Sr. v Newsom +1000
- DeSantis v Buttigieg +2750
- DeSantis v Warren +2750
- Trump Sr. v Buttigieg +2750
- Trump Sr. v Warren +2750
- Pence v Biden +3300
- DeSantis v Klobuchar +4500
- Trump Sr. v Klobuchar +4500
- Pence v Harris +4625
- Haley v Biden +7000
- Haley v Harris +9500
- Carlson v Biden +13750
- Pence v Buttigieg +16750
- Pence v Warren +16750
- Carlson v Harris +18500
- Pence v Klobuchar +27000
- Haley v Buttigieg +33500
- Haley v Warren +33500
- Haley v Klobuchar +54500
- Carlson v Buttigieg +66000
- Carlson v Warren 66000
- Carlson v Klobuchar +107000
To Progress Further
Trump v Pence
- Donald Trump Sr. -300
- Mike Pence +200
Buttigieg v Warren
- Elizabeth Warren -120
- Pete Buttigieg -120
DeSantis v Harris
- Ron DeSantis -300
- Kamala Harris +200
Haley v Warren
- Elizabeth Warren -165
- Nikki Haley +125
Sanders v Cruz
- Ted Cruz -165
- Bernie Sanders +125
Trump v Biden
- Donald Trump Sr. -200
- Joe Biden +150
Trump v Harris
- Donald Trump Sr. -180
- Kamala Harris +140
DeSantis v Yang
- Ron DeSantis -350
- Andrew Yang +225
To Run for President
- Donald Trump Sr. -300
- Gavin Newsom +200
- Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson +300
- Hillary Clinton +300
- Howard Stern +500
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +600
- Tucker Carlson +700
- Elon Musk +1600
- Ivanka Trump +1600
- Donald Trump Jr. +3300
- + More!
Politics Specials
Trump v Clinton in 2024?
- No -90000
- Yes +4000
Howard Stern to Run for US President in 2024?
- No -900
- Yes +500
Hillary Clinton To Run in 2024?
- No -600
- Yes +350
Hillary Clinton To Endorse Non-Biden Democrat?
- No -1000
- Yes +550
Hillary Clinton To be Indicted?
- No -10000
- Yes +2000
Female President in 2024?
- No -700
- Yes +400
Trump v Biden in 2024?
- No -900
- Yes +500
Of all these props, this is the best one. The odds on “no” at -900 aren’t great, but if you wager a decent amount, you’ll at least get a non-trivial payout.
Steve Bannon to be Trump Campaign Manager?
- No -10000
- Yes +2000
Year That Kamala Harris Becomes President
- Not Before 2026 -365
- 2023 +575
- 2024 +625
- 2022 +825
- 2025 +1200
YWNBAWP
International Political Odds
Russia Odds – Vladimir Putin Exit Date
- 2026 or Later +110
- 2023 +300
- 2024 +450
- 2022 +500
- 2025 +700
Aside from those rumors about Putler™ having cancer and being on death’s door (which we’ve been hearing about “unfavorable” world leaders for ages – see Little Rocket Man™ in North Korea), there’s no reason to believe the most popular man in Russia is going to bow out anytime soon.
UK Odds – Liz Truss Vote Share
- Over 63½% -120
- Under 63½% -120
UK Odds – Year of Keir Starmer Exit
- 2024 or Later -1000
- 2023 +525
- 2022 +3000
UK Odds – Keir Starmer to be Labour Leader at Next Election?
- Yes -2000
- No +700
UK Odds – Next Labour Party Leader
- Andy Burnham +500
- Lisa Nandy +550
- Wes Streeting +550
- Rachel Reeves +600
- Angela Rayner +700
- David Lammy +1000
- Yvette Cooper +1000
- Jess Phillips +2000
- Bridget Phillipson +2800
- Rosena Allin-Khan +2800
- + More!
UK Odds – Next UK General Election
- Conservatives -110
- Labour -110
- Liberal Democrats +5000
UK Odds – Overall Majority at Next General Election?
- No -170
- Yes +130
UK Odds – Next Conservative Party Leader
- Elizabeth Truss -1500
- Rishi Sunak +600
EU Odds – When Will Ukraine Join the EU?
- 2030 or later +200
- 2023 +500
- 2024 +600
- 2022 +700
- 2025 +700
- 2026 +700
- 2027 +800
- 2028 +1000
- 2029 +1100
EU Odds – Any Country to Leave the EU Before 2025?
- No -165
- Yes +125
EU Odds – Next Country to Leave the EU?
- None before 2025 -165
- Hungary +200
- Italy +400
- Bulgaria +800
- Poland +1400
- Austria +4000
- Cyprus +4000
- Romania +5000
- Slovakia +5000
- Malta +6600
- + More!
Brazilian Odds – 2022 Brazilian General Election Winner
- Lula da Silva -425
- Jair Bolsonaro +275
- Ciro Gomes +10000
- Eduardo Leite +10000
- Fernando Haddad +10000
- Flavio Dino +10000
- Joao Doria +10000
- Marina Silva +10000
- Sergio Moro +10000
2022 Joe Biden Presidential Mental Fitness Test Update
Will Biden Complete Full First Term?
- Yes -300 (-275)
- No +200 (+185)
Joe Biden Exit Date
- 2025 -200 (-250)
- Not Before 2026 +465 (+535)
- 2023 +550 (+700)
- 2024 +600 (+700)
- 2022 +800 (+650)
Biden to Win Second Term?
- No -850 (-950)
- Yes +450 (+525)
Biden Approval on September 1st
- 40.00-40.99% +255 (+300)
- 41.00-41.99% +275 (+425)
- 39.00-39.99% +350 (+300)
- 38.00-38.99% +550 (+350)
- 42.00-42.99% +600 (+1000)
- Under 38% +1200 (+600)
- 43% or Higher +1600 (+1600)
