Despite the 2020 US Presidential debates being the topic of daily discussion at every MSM outlet and across the entire Internet blogosphere, the best Vegas election betting sites have been hesitant to include too many odds on the (allegedly) forthcoming events.
Indeed, these sites have not had a great deal of props in general for the upcoming November general and its various tangential developments and implications.
But finally, MyBookie is asserting itself as the leader in the political prop market by not only adding those Nancy Pelosi Presidential odds we argued for, but also by doubling down on all kinds of other action related to the election.
The most amusing of these, of course, are the Presidential debate props that the site has posted, which you can see below. We briefly analyze each one and share our selections, but keep in mind that to get in on these, you need to bet today.
Remember, election props have the habit of staying live for about 24-48 hours, and while the first Trump vs. Biden debate is slated for just two weeks from now, these lines could disappear at literally any time.
Bet early, bet often!
2020 Presidential Debate Odds – First Debate (Sept. 29, 2020)
Will Joe Biden participate in all 3 debates?
- No -220
- Yes +155
Not a chance.
Will Joe Biden participate in the first debate?
- Yes -250
- No +170
Almost certainly. He’ll do at least one, then produce a semi-plausible excuse for abstaining from one or both of the others – like a “second wave” of the coronavirus or a “positive” COVID-19 test (for which there are odds further down this list).
Will Joe Biden participate in the second debate?
- Yes -160
- No +120
Tough call, so we’d stay away from this one. The landscape is going to change dramatically after the first debate.
Will Joe Biden participate in the third debate?
- Yes -250
- No +170
Again, tough call. If he balks at the second debate, he may have to participate in the third, given its proximity to the election. If he does the first two, the third may be less important and more worth skipping for the 2020 Biden campaign. We’re passing.
Will Donald Trump Say “QAnon”?
- No -400
- Yes +250
No. The 2020 Trump campaign has long tried to distance itself from the QAnon brand. Even if asked directly about group, it seems Trump would abstain from stating its official name, soundbites being weaponized as they are.
Will Donald Trump say “Sleepy Joe”?
- No -400
- Yes +250
The only way Trump doesn’t call Biden what he’s been calling Biden for the last two years is if he gets carried away with any or all of the 37 other Biden nicknames he’s used over the course of the campaign.
Will Donald Trump mention Joe Biden’s basement?
- Yes -160
- No +120
“Basement Joe” is sure to make an appearance. Take the “yes” at -160.
How many times will Donald Trump say “China”?
- Over 6.5 -120
- Under 6.5 -120
Probably zero. But “DJI-na” – as he pronounces the nation – counts, and he’s likely to say it a hundred times. Any talk of COVID-19, global trade, international competition, Biden’s conflicts of interest, and so on will be prefaced with the country’s name. Over 6.5, easy.
Will Donald Trump say “anarchists”?
- Yes -240
- No +160
Obviously.
How many times will Donald Trump say “Antifa”?
- Over 4.5 -120
- Under 4.5 -120
We’re leaning “over” on this one, but it’s a tough call. “Antifa” isn’t a natural part of The Donald’s lexicon. Proceed with caution.
How many times will Donald Trump say “Portland”?
- Over 2.5 -280
- Under 2.5 +190
The “over” seems safe. Portland’s Mostly Peaceful Protests™ have been a disaster, and they’re going to be a big part of the Trump campaign’s Midwest and West Coast ad blitzes.
How many times will Donald Trump say “Seattle”?
- Over 1.5 +150
- Under 1.5 -200
The CHOP Zone was so last month two months ago. The city will get a mention, maybe two at most. This is a tricky line, and we’re saving our Monopoly money (just kidding, we bet in Bitcoin!) for other wagers.
Will Donald Trump mention Ted Wheeler by name?
- Yes +170
- No -250
Ted Wheeler is the mayor of Portland. You know, the guy allowing all those riots to continue on unabated. But Trump may not give him the respect of citing his actual name, instead going with something like “that failed Democrat mayor in the once beautiful city of Portland” or the like.
Will Donald Trump say “law and order”?
- Yes -500
- No +300
You better believe it. Go all in.
How many times will Donald Trump say “law and order”?
- Over 3.5 -120
- Under 3.5 -120
Over. And over. And over.
How many times will Donald Trump say “Obama”?
- Over 3.5 -120
- Under 3.5 -120
Honestly, we’re leaning “under” here. The lines are the same on both sides, which is a good indication of uncertainty on the part of the book itself. Normally, we’d pass on such a prop, but Trump will likely make the first debate more about Biden than about Obama.
How many times will Joe Biden say “Q” or “QAnon”?
- Over 1.5 -250
- Under 1.5 +170
Probably more than twice. The real question is whether or not he’ll actually be able to physically pronounce it properly or without a stutter. That’s probably why MyBookie is giving him the berth to just say “Q.” So even if he’s thinking of that annoying jerk on those basement reruns of Star Trek TNG, the “over” should hit.
Will Joe Biden say “very fine people”?
- Yes +120
- No -160
Biden has repeated this hoax ad nauseum and has never been challenged on the spot. Despite being debunked after the fact by every “fact checker” on the right and the left, he’ll say it again, even if he’s instructed not to. Take the “yes” at +120.
Will Joe Biden call Donald Trump a “racist”?
- Yes +170
- No -250
Probably not. He will, however, likely refer to Trump as “xenophobic” or a “xenophobe,” which is the way the “college educated” – even those that finish at the bottom of their class – like to make this tired accusation. Then again, that’s a long, complex word for a guy with brain damage, cognitive issues, and speaking problems. We’d bail on this one.
How many times will Joe Biden say “Antifa”?
- Over 1.5 +200
- Under 1.5 -300
There is no way to speak about Antifa in a positive light, but Biden will get no points for denigrating a party ally. Take the under if you must.
Will Joe Biden say “fact check”?
- Yes -160
- No +120
Of course he will.
Will Joe Biden call Donald Trump a “liar”?
- Yes -300
- No +200
Probably. We’d take the “yes” on this if we had to pick.
Will Joe Biden mention “Bob Woodward”?
- Yes -200
- No +150
Bob Woodward is an investigative reporter and associate editor of the Washington Post who has released “revelations” that the Bad Orange Man knew that COVID-19 was more serious than the seasonal flu. Back in February. After he banned all incoming flights from China. Because of COVID-19. Woodward’s going to get mentioned for sure, so “yes” is a safe bet. We’re guessing MyBookie will give Uncle Joe a bit of leeway on the pronunciation, too.
Will Joe Biden mention the number of USA COVID-19 deaths?
- Yes -500
- No +300
Is this a real question?
Will Biden misquote the number of COVID-19 deaths by over 100,000?
- Yes +250
- No -400
We’re 50-50 on this. Because of that, the “yes” payout is attractive. Earmark a few bucks here.
Will Joe Biden say “Russia”?
- Yes -300
- No +200
Duh, tovarisch.
How many times will Joe Biden say “China”?
- Over 2.5 -120
- Under 2.5 -120
They’re BFFs because Corn Pop is no longer with us, so China it is. Take the over.
Who will CNN say won the first debate?
- Donald Trump +550
- Joe Biden -1200
Bet the maximum on Biden. Empty out your life savings, take out a second mortgage, and go all in.
Who will Fox News say won the first debate?
- Donald Trump -400
- Joe Biden +250
Actually, scratch the above. Go all in on this one instead. Fox News is not a pro-Trump outlet. It’s almost a sure thing that the network will declare Biden the winner after the first debate. Of course, this is a world where there are no sure things. (Thanks a lot, Eagles. Losing to the Washington Football Team? Really?)
Aside from the above debate props, there are several other props you can wager on at MyBookie if you act fast. The following is an abbreviated list of our current favorites:
2020 Political Prop Bets
Will Joe Biden test positive for COVID-19 before September 19, 2020?
- Yes +155
- No -220
If he doesn’t want to participate in the first debate, he will. Otherwise, no. We’re leaning “no.”
Will Joe Biden drop out before November 1, 2020?
- Yes +450
- No -900
Only if he drops dead.
Will Donald Trump drop out before November 1, 2020?
- Yes +1200
- No -5000
Only if he drops dead.
What position will Nancy Pelosi hold on January 21, 2021
- Speaker of the House -50000
- US President +7000
MyBookie coming through with our suggestion! If you have a spare $20, take the dog on this. Remember, if the votes aren’t counted or there is pending litigation about the outcome of the 2020 election that lasts beyond January 20, 2021, at 11:59 AM EST – and if the Democrats retain the House – Madam Speaker will become Madam President by default.
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize?
- Yes -160
- No +120
This is the wackiest political line in the history of wacky political lines. Yes, Donald Trump has been nominated for his second Nobel Peace Prize, but there’s not a chance in the world he’s going to win it, even though he’s favored to. Bet the absolute maximum on “no” at +120 before it turns into -10000.
Will a COVID-19 vaccine be approved before November 3, 2020?
- Yes +450
- No -900
This could be Trump’s “October Surprise,” but there’s a lot of red tape to get through. Also, polling suggests nobody wants to take one in the first place. While the “no” is favored by too much and the payout on the “yes” is attractive, we’re trepidatious.
Day the losing Presidential candidate will concede the 2020 US election?
- Nov. 3 +400
- Nov. 4 -110
- Nov. 5 +500
- Nov. 6 +600
- Nov. 7 +700
- Nov. 8 +800
- Nov. 9 +900
- Nov. 10 +1200
- Nov. 11 +1200
- Nov. 12 +1200
- Nov. 13 or later +500
Not touching this one, but November 13 or later at +500 is the likeliest outcome. There’s no chance in the world that all the mail-in votes will be opened, certified, and tallied within the first few days post-election. And then there’s the lawsuits. Oh, the lawsuits!