If we’ve learned one thing about Vegas election odds, it’s that you’ve got to get your wagers in as soon as you see a line you like.
If you wait until tomorrow, the odds will have either shifted significantly, or they’ll be off the boards entirely.
This is especially true with political prop bets.
That’s why it was so surprising to see the sheer number of election odds posted at BetOnline AG.
Usually, BetOnline and Bovada compete to provide the most comprehensive political gambling selections, but lately, it’s been all BetOnline.
Bovada has a few items up (which you should definitely check out, if for no other reason than to shop lines), but BetOnline has really outdone itself for a mid-week slate.
Meanwhile, MyBookie – which absolutely killed it during the run-up to the 2020 Presidential election, is nowhere to be found. All you’ll get there are 2024 election odds, and Donald Trump’s not even on the boards. Also, Joe Biden is the favorite at +100.
Seriously, MyBookie, WT actual F?
MyBookie notwithstanding, the main reason BetOnline has so many different political gambling lines posted is because unlike the other two legal election sportsbooks, only BetOnline serves a comprehensive global clientele. And right now, things are afoot across the pond.
There’s definitely the usual intrigue in the once good old US of A, but the bulk of the odds are on international politics.
We don’t pay much attention to those markets, but since many of you do, we figured it was worth a post. And as usual, we’ll even give you some advice. Where we can, anyway.
All that said, we’re going to start with the current American political odds, since America – despite everything that’s happened since November – is still number one!
Oh, and get ready for a lot of scrolling:
United States Election Odds
2024 Presidential Election Winner
- Joe Biden +375
- Kamala Harris +375
- Donald Trump +700
- Nikki Haley +1400
- Ron DeSantis +1800
- Mike Pence +2000
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +2500
- Dwayne Johnson +3300
- Ivanka Trump +3300
- Michelle Obama +3300
- Tucker Carlsson +3300
- Josh Hawley +4000
- Kristi Noem +4000
- Mike Pompeo +4000
- Pete Buttigieg +4000
- Ted Cruz +4000
- Tom Cotton +4000
- Candace Owens +5000
- Dan Crenshaw +5000
- Donald Trump Jr. +5000
- Elizabeth Warren +5000
- Amy Klobuchar +6600
- Beto O’Rourke +6600
- Marco Rubio +6600
- Mark Cuban +6600
- Stacey Abrams +6600
- Charlie Baker +7500
- Andrew Cuomo +8000
- Andrew Yang +8000
- Bernie Sanders +8000
- Joe Rogan +8000
- Michael Bloomberg +8000
- Paul Ryan +8000
- Tammy Duckworth +8000
- Chris Christie +10000
- Cory Booker +10000
- Elon Musk +10000
- George Clooney +10000
- George P. Bush +10000
- Greg Abbott +10000
- Gretchen Whitmer +10000
- Hillary Clinton +10000
- Joe Kennedy III +10000
- John Kasich +10000
- Jon Stewart +10000
- Julian Castro +10000
- Kanye West +10000
- Lindsey Graham +10000
- Mark Zuckerberg +10000
- Mitt Romney +10000
- Nancy Pelosi +10000
- Sherrod Brown +10000
- Tammy Baldwin +10000
- Tim Scott +10000
- Tulsi Gabbard +10000
- Rand Paul +12500
- Deval Patrick +15000
- Kayleigh McEnany +15000
- Michael Bennet +15000
- Tommy Tuberville +15000
- Ben Shapiro +20000
- Bill Gates +20000
- Chelsea Clinton +20000
- Condoleezza Rice +20000
- Eric Garcetti +20000
- Eric Holder +20000
- Gavin Newsom +20000
- Howard Schultz +20000
- Jamie Dimon +20000
- Jared Kushner +20000
- Jeff Flake +20000
- Kirsten Gillibrand +20000
- LeBron James +20000
- Meghan Markle +20000
- Mitch McConnell +20000
- Oprah Winfrey +20000
- Tom Steyer +20000
- Val Demings +20000
This is the most amusing list of odds we’ve seen in some time. Mostly a whole bunch of nobodies who think they’re somebodies. Embarrassing.
Ignoring the posers, we’ll risking some cash on Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and Ron DeSantis. Given Kamala’s +375 odds as the favorite, if any of those three hit, we’re guaranteed a decent payout.
Politics is all about hedging your bets, folks. Learn it, live it, love it.
And hate it. To the max.
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee
- Kamala Harris +150
- Joe Biden +175
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1400
- Elisabeth Warren +2000
- Pete Buttigieg +2000
- Michelle Obama +2200
- Amy Klobuchar +3300
- Andrew Yang +3300
- Bernie Sanders +3300
- Beto O’Rourke +3300
- Cory Booker +3300
- Stacey Abrams +4000
- Tammy Duckworth +4000
- Andrew Cuomo +5000
- Deval Patrick +5000
- Gretchen Whitmer +5000
- Hillary Clinton +5000
- Michael Bennet +5000
- Michael Bloomberg +5000
- Tammy Baldwin +5000
- Sherrod Brown +6600
- Tulsi Gabbard +6600
- Kirsten Gillibrand +10000
- Val Demings +10000
Hillary. Definitely Hillary.
LOL.
Kamala at +150 for “re-election” is the best bet here.
2024 Republican Presidential Nominee
- Donald Trump +300
- Nikki Haley +600
- Ron DeSantis +650
- Mike Pence +900
- Ted Cruz +1500
- Mike Pompeo +1800
- Donald Trump Jr. +2000
- Josh Hawley +2000
- Kristi Noem +2000
- Tom Cotton +2000
- Tucker Carlsson +2000
- Candace Owens +2500
- Marco Rubio +2500
- Charlie Baker +3300
- Dan Crenshaw +3300
- Mitt Romney +3300
- Chris Christie +5000
- George P. Bush +5000
- Greg Abbott +5000
- Paul Ryan +5000
- Condoleezza Rice +6500
- Kayleigh McEnany +6600
- Lindsey Graham +6600
- Rand Paul +6600
- Tim Scott +6600
- Tommy Tuberville +7500
- Jared Kushner +10000
- Jeff Flake +10000
- John Kasich +10000
It’ll be Trump, Trump, or Trump, Jr.
Maybe DeSantis.
We’re putting money on The Donald and The Ronald. If either wins, we’ll be in the black.
2022 US Senate Majority Winning Party
- Democrats -130
- Republicans -110
The GOP just needs to flip a single seat. If they can ensure a fair election, that shouldn’t be too difficult, given the current climate.
That -110 payout is reasonable, too.
Will any Trump win the US presidency in 2024?
- No -900
- Yes +500
Given the fact that no Trump has formally declared a run yet, we like the flexibility offered by this line, so we’re taking the “Yes” at +500.
However, we’re not betting the farm on it. DeSantis’ star is rising bigly.
Will Caitlyn Jenner be elected?
- No -2000
- Yes +700
To dog catcher? No. Xe’s probably not fast enough anymore.
To anything else? Also no.
Even at -2000.
Will Andrew Cuomo be re-elected as NY governor in 2022 if he runs?
- Yes -250
- No +170
New York loves its Italian-style mafiosos. Some things never change.
“Yes” all day long in The City that Never Sleeps.
Will Joe Biden leave office via impeachment?
- No -2000
- Yes +700
Not a chance in the world. And at -2000 odds, there’s actually surprising value here.
The line should be set at -100000.
Who will run for President in 2024?
- Donald Trump +125
- Donald Trump Jr. +400
- Ivanka Trump +400
- Tucker Carlsson +500
- Lara Trump +600
- Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson +1000
- Kimberley Guilfoyle +1200
- Jeff Bezos +2000
- Roger Stone +2000
- Michael Moore +2500
- Mark Zuckerberg +3300
- Lebron James +4000
- Meghan Markle +4000
- Tom Hanks +4000
- James Woods +5000
- Oprah Winfrey +5000
- Scott Baio +5000
- Henry Winkler +6600
- Meryl Streep +6600
- Rosie O’Donnell +10000
Four of the first five people on this list are Trumps. As we’ve said many times before, the family is dynasty building.
The Trumps are the new Kennedys.
Also, DeSantis isn’t featured here, surprisingly.
Will Senator Ron Johnson be re-elected in Wisconsin?
- No -140
- Yes +100
Not if they’re still using Dominion voting machines, he won’t be.
UK Political Betting Odds
2021 Hartlepool By-Election
- Conservatives -160
- Labour +120
- Northern Independence Party +10000
- Reform UK +10000
- Liberal Democrats +15000
They country misspelled “Labor.”
Amateurs.
Next Conservative Party Leader
- Rishi Sunak +200
- Michael Gove +900
- Elizabeth Truss +1000
- Jeremy Hunt +1100
- Dominic Raab +1200
- Priti Patel +1600
- Matthew Hancock +2200
- Tom Tugendhat +2200
- Jacob Rees-Mogg +2500
- Robert Jenrick +2500
- Sajid Javid +2500
- Ben Wallace +3300
- Gavin Williamson +3300
- Johnny Mercer +3300
- Grant Shapps +4000
- Mark Harper +4000
- Penny Mordaunt +4000
- Steve Baker +4000
- Tobais Ellwood +5000
- Esther McVey +6600
- Kwasi Kwarteng +6600
- Andrea Leadsom +10000
- Graham Brady +10000
- Nigel Farage +10000
- Ruth Davidson +10000
- George Osborne +20000
The odds here resemble what you’d find at a horse race: no clear favorite and small deltas between top contenders.
Next Labour Party Leader
- Andy Burnham +600
- Angela Rayner +900
- Lisa Nandy +900
- Sadiq Khan +900
- Rosena Allin-Khan +1000
- Yvette Cooper +1600
- Nick Thomas-Symonds +2200
- Clive Lewis +2500
- David Lammy +2500
- Rachel Reeves +2500
- Anneliese Dodds +3300
- Dan Carden +3300
- Dan Jarvis +3300
- Jess Phillips +3300
- David Miliband +4000
- Dawn Butler +4000
- Ed Miliband +4000
- Wes Streeting +4000
- Zarah Sultana +4000
- Anas Sarwar +5000
- Hillary Benn +5000
- Janet Daby +5000
- Jim McMahon +5000
- Jonathan Ashworth +5000
- Lucy Powell +5000
- Seema Malhotra +5000
- Stella Creasy +5000
- Stephen Kinnock +5000
- Emily Thornberry +6600
- John McDonnell +6600
- Laura Pidcock +6600
- Richard Burgon +6600
- Rebecca Long-Bailey +8000
- Diane Abbott +10000
- Jeremy Corbyn +10000
- Jonathan Reynolds +10000
- Tony Blair +15000
Ditto.
This must be what a party that lacks leadership looks like.
Boris Johnson Conservative Leader at Election?
- No -120
- Yes -120
Will BoJo be the Conservative leader by election time? Will he be the Conservative leader after the election? And which election is being referenced, anyway?
We don’t really know what BetOnline is asking, here.
But since it’s a coin toss with the same odds on both sides, our policy is to abstain regardless.
Will Scotland vote for independence before 2025?
- Yes -130
- No -110
They didn’t before, and they won’t again.
Or maybe that was Ireland.
Same thing.
Subjects of the Crown, one and all.
Will the SNP win a majority of seats?
- Yes -160
- No +120
We don’t know what that is.
London Mayoral Election Winner
- Sadiq Khan -25000
- Brian Rose +2800
- Shaun Bailey +2800
- Lawrence Fox +10000
- Sian Berry +15000
- Niko Omilana +25000
- Piers Corbyn +30000
- David Kurten +50000
- Kam Balayev +50000
- Luisa Porritt +50000
- Mandu Reid +50000
- Max Fosh +50000
- Nims Obunge +50000
- Peter Gammons +50000
- Richard Hewison +50000
- Steve Kelleher +50000
- Valerie Brown +50000
- Vanessa Hudson +50000
- Count Binface +100000
You should obviously bet for anyone except the guy with -25000 odds.
Do it.
Do it!
French Political Betting Odds
Next Elected New York City Mayor 2021
- Andrew Yang -250
- Eric Adams +350
- Maya Wiley +900
- Scott Stringer +1200
- Raymond McGuire +1600
- Diane Morales +5000
- Kathryn Garcia +5000
- Shaun Donovan +5000
#YangGang, baby!
Math. Money. Marijuana.
And an NYC casino, apparently.
Will Andrew Yang be elected as mayor of NYC in 2021?
- Yes -250
- No +170
See above.
Next Elected Boston City Mayor 2021
- Michelle Wu -120
- Kim Janey +140
- Andrea Campbell +800
- Jon Santiago +2000
- Annissa Essaibi George +2500
- John Barros +2500
Who cares?
Next Elected Seattle Mayor 2021
- Loren Gonzalez -150
- Jessyn Farrell +250
- Colleen Echohawk +600
- Bruce Harrell +800
- Andrew Grant Houston +3300
- Lance Randall +3300
Seriously, who cares?
2022 French Presidential Election Winner
- Emmanuel Macron -160
- Marine Le Pen +300
- Jean-Luc Melenchon +1600
- Anne Hidalgo +2000
- Edouard Philippe +2000
- Michel Barnier +2000
- Xavier Bertrand +2000
- Laurent Wauquiez +2500
- Bruno Retailleau +4000
- Francois Baroin +4000
- Arnaud Montebourg +5000
- Benoit Haman +5000
- Bruno Le Maire +5000
- David Lisnard +5000
- Manuel Valls +5000
- Pierre de Villiers +5000
- Valerie Pecresse +5000
- Francois Hollande +6600
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan +6600
- Yanick Jadot +6600
- Eric Zimmour +10000
- Segolene Royal +10000
- Nicolas Sarkozy +20000
It’ll be Macron or Le Pen. Probably the incumbent.
Whichever one that is.
Bet accordingly.
German Political Betting Odds
2021 German Chancellor Election Winner
- Armin Laschet -130
- Markus Soder +140
- Annalena Baerbock +650
- Robert Habeck +1200
- Jens Spahn +2500
- Olaf Scholz +2500
- Alice Weidel +6600
The one with the French name. That guy should obviously be the next Chancellor of Germany.
2021 Biden Presidential Mental Fitness Test Update
Will Joe Biden complete his first term as US President?
- Yes -150
- No +110
How in the world is this line so stagnant? “No” should be pulling -10000, easy.